November 13, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wherever He Is | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saul Good Man | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Sam | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Nightmare | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wilton | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hillbilly | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ogre’s Lion King | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | De Livermore | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Witch Doctor | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Mr. Unusual | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gobler | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Forevamo | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Epic (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | One King Cat | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Familiar Rhythm | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Veteran | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cheers to Berti | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Smok’n Policy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Oak Hill Seniorita | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuhr Meo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Citizens Reward | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Loco Poco | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Visionofwildtimes | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Lovie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Memory | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Akiane’s Soldier | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Funkylittleshack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cyber Sneaker | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Eclectic Soul | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Daigle | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All in Bronson | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Birdcatmouse | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dark Sarcasm | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ebony Bay | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two With a Ten | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Hearted Wench | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Malartach | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Lea’s Princess | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Stone Secret | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Town Drunk | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Force | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Chief | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Makeithappen | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | End Zone | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laughing Latinos | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zens Secret | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Broadway Jones | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Cometh | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tensas Toddy | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Wise Guy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Now You Rules | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Purim King | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | My Call | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Donna’s Court | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Meditate | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Midnight Nightmare | 1.80 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 7 | That’s D ‘cat | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Lovely Charlie | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paisley Cross | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Kiki | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racin Prayer | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noon’s Babygirl | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slide | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steph’s Spirit | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harriet’s Dream | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Track Smart | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brave City Girl | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Cadillac Ridge | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Old Fashion Amour | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runpeggyrun | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Isolation | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Onetwomanyrockets | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Byanymeans | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Foursweetnieces | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | D’wild Muffin | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mrs. Judy | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | See Sassy Run | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Non Binding | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Gone Sweet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Delta Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nate’s Attack | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bold Thirst | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shake Some Action | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its a Wrap | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Flash of Mischief | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mocito Rojo | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Boyfriend Material | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fighting Seabee | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pirate’s Punch | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Twoko Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Desiard | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Apriority | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He Had a Secret | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Rog | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flash Me Back | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Crossbow | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Rogue | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last Appeal | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Feller | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Powershot | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holy Sunrise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.