November 13, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papi Bello | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coalfields | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | General Command | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Man Vito | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Gus | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Victory | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wadada | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sidney’s Bid | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rojo Toro | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nureyev’s Dream | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ziggy | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prakriti | 50.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Under Fire | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Legend | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bronx | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heaven’s Tale | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tutankhamunatcha | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Fake So Phony | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Texas Playboy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simplification | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shastree | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Of a Revolution | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Ruler | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summery | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast N Steady | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thelastbulletsmine | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laloba Feroz | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelfth Moon | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Empress | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sade Purse | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Latte Lover | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sena the Duchess | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commissio | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guaco | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign Warrior | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gumwrapper | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marcelino | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tenacity Zip | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Blake | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malraux | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Blade | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Weaver | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Fast | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Punk | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nitro Time | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Hot Foot Susie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | London Lady | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wintour | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strategic Bird | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Uncaptured Grace | 30.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Funny Face | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Spitfire | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madeforsummer | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seabrook Summer | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adios Babe | 50.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fresh Morning | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Julie Bird (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlotte the Brit | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Jazmine | 50.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Pay | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Noy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uptown Queen | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unwanted Input | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yellen | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Me as I Am | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beauty Queen | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nurse Judy | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Abhar | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sixty One | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Turn a Night Up | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Doo Wop Don | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kicks On Sixty Six | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factorino | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Little Dude | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bahamian Beat | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frankie Z | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gods Blessing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dubai Key (ARG) | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Count | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Like What I See | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Democracy | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Citrus Burst | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slippin Jimmy | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Kitten | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Island Commish | 1.40 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Check Twice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Karenville | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khosea | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Belle’s Kingdom | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Perfect Kimberly S | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Viexa | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bears Breeches | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardly Social | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Beauty Princess | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raison the Glass | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blazinonbayou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.