November 14, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Irishman | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jack Gave Back | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lucky Man | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Prankster | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Artistic Reason | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Rain | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear Humor | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack of Hearts | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saint Rita | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chicago River | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hummin’ the Funk | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Likehail | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellswillberinging | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jungle Bride | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amaretto Sour | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Foxtrot Seville | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | English Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rhythm and Power | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | First Lady Di Da | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tiktoknaway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Toss a Coin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Secret Prize | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leia Organa | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Sweet Pea | 5.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Friends Beer | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Good Man | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodluckchuck | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solomonic | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Beautiful Wall | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crush It | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swing West | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tempting Moment | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lazaretto | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alpha Queue | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tauber | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | San Antone | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Boss | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Dialed In | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where U B | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Count the Shells | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Feel the Glory | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ariana Valentina | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boat Money | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dance Routine | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meliponini Bee | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surya | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Twenty One | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sofia’s Secret | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time Goes Fast | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isabella’s Glory | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cecilita | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sign and Seal | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifteen Royals | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olive Kat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey and Rye | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gifted Heart | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ava O | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ellanation | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Can the Queen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Whispurring Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Polished Gal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Baci | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Epic Idea | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lady Storm | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dr B | 1.20 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Admonish | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mit Mazel | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Like a Pro | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joanie’s Sunset | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Award Wanted | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fool Yourself | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misty’s Banshee | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arthur’s Hope | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Station | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey and You | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mojovation | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Threes Over Deuces | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Sunshine | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tenax | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patient Game | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hands Down | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pickin Sea Glass | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thruster | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Star | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pederson’s Courage | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mailman’s a Flyer | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.