November 14, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Valhalla Air Base | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Expo | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Mad Dog N Joe | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Arquebus | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Hullabaloo | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Spiral Storm | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Red Mavrik | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Absolutist | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Laugaricio | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Money Printer | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Magic Spin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Sunrise Drive | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Silver Smoke | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Black Sun | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Blue Max | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Solis | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Boxer Brief | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Bodie | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Marten River | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Salvator Mundi | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Reconfigure | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Forest Survivor | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Wheat King | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Forester’s Turn | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Speedy Bolt | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 13 | Beyond My Dreams | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Orphan Hallie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
12 | 12 | Frac Attack | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Artie My Boy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Wings of Victory | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Tycoon | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Copinsay | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
10 | 10 | Executive Holiday | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
11 | 11 | Party of No | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | Birchmount Rd | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Liverpool Man | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | Quantum Velocity | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
7 | 7 | Adelaide Court | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
14 | 14 | Gendragon | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Duke of Love | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Light the Lamp | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Hilarious Affair | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Mentoring | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Shambo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Factotum | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Sea to Air | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Uncle Joe | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Invisible Friend | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Big Bad Beast | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Redoute’s Light | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | The Mighty Judge | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Solar | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Tallestofthetall | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | D’s Ben | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Self Inflicted | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Seventyseven Stone | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | First Spring | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Ice Challenge | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Lapochka | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Vanbrugh | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
9 | 8 | Theregoesjojo | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
10 | 9 | War Bomber (IRE) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
13 | 12 | Tiesto | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
12 | 11 | English Conqueror | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
14 | 13 | Taos (FR) | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
8 | 7 | Sir Sahib | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
7 | 6 | Tidal Forces | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
2 | 2 | Coleyville | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
3 | 3 | Timeskip | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
5 | 5 | Native Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Proliferate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 10 | Rogue Affair | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
1 | 1 | Burning Man | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Autumn S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Sir Winston | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Special Forces | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Halo Again | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Mighty Heart | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Primo Touch | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Embolden | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Faraway Kitten | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Vanzzy | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Lake Shore Drive | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Sandy Bay | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Danfusi | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Aim for the Sky | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Threefiftyseven | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Checkerboard Floor | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Ignited | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Elektronic | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Galvaston | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Undefiled | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Grazely | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Fifth Season | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Battle of Yorktown | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Ammunition | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Download | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
9 | 9 | Stop the Humbug | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
8 | 8 | Kosmonavt | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
11 | 11 | Ante Up Alex | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
2 | 2 | Just Start Me Up | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
12 | 12 | Dawson Silver | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | North Battleford | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Blue Snow | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Honor Collection | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Best and Final | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
13 | 13 | Vatican Moon | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
11 | 11 | Hip to Your Tricks | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | In All Alone | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Steel Wool | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
12 | 12 | Where’s Ned | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Mighty Pele | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
1 | 1 | Mr. Dynamic | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | Calming Influence | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
9 | 9 | Four Bounce | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.