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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 14, 2021

November 14, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Valhalla Air Base 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Expo 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mad Dog N Joe 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Arquebus 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Hullabaloo 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Spiral Storm 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Red Mavrik 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Absolutist 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Laugaricio 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Money Printer 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Magic Spin 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Sunrise Drive 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Silver Smoke 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Black Sun 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Blue Max 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Solis 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Boxer Brief 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Bodie 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Marten River 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Salvator Mundi 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Reconfigure 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 4 Forest Survivor 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Wheat King 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Forester’s Turn 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Speedy Bolt 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Beyond My Dreams 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Orphan Hallie 6.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Frac Attack 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Artie My Boy 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Wings of Victory 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Tycoon 3.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Copinsay 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Executive Holiday 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Party of No 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Birchmount Rd 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Liverpool Man 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Quantum Velocity 15.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Adelaide Court 30.00 9 17-1
14 14 Gendragon 30.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Duke of Love 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Light the Lamp 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Hilarious Affair 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mentoring 2.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Shambo 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Factotum 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Sea to Air 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Uncle Joe 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Invisible Friend 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Big Bad Beast 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Redoute’s Light 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 The Mighty Judge 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Solar 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Tallestofthetall 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 D’s Ben 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Self Inflicted 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Seventyseven Stone 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 First Spring 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Ice Challenge 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lapochka 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Vanbrugh 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Theregoesjojo 4.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 War Bomber (IRE) 6.00 7 13-1
13 12 Tiesto 10.00 7.8 15-1
12 11 English Conqueror 8.00 8 15-1
14 13 Taos (FR) 20.00 9.3 18-1
8 7 Sir Sahib 20.00 9.7 18-1
7 6 Tidal Forces 20.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Coleyville 20.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Timeskip 12.00 10 19-1
5 5 Native Prince 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Proliferate 12.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Rogue Affair 20.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Burning Man 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Autumn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sir Winston 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Special Forces 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 5 Halo Again 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Mighty Heart 3.00 4 7-1
3 2 Primo Touch 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Embolden 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Faraway Kitten 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Vanzzy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lake Shore Drive 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Sandy Bay 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Danfusi 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Aim for the Sky 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Threefiftyseven 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Checkerboard Floor 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Ignited 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Elektronic 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Galvaston 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Undefiled 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Grazely 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Fifth Season 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Battle of Yorktown 3.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Ammunition 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Download 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Stop the Humbug 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Kosmonavt 12.00 7 13-1
11 11 Ante Up Alex 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Just Start Me Up 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Dawson Silver 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 North Battleford 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blue Snow 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Honor Collection 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Best and Final 6.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Vatican Moon 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Hip to Your Tricks 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 In All Alone 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Steel Wool 12.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Where’s Ned 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Mighty Pele 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Mr. Dynamic 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Calming Influence 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Sir Grayvenscroft 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Four Bounce 20.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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