November 17, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bear Tooth Pass | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mave Runner | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poseidon’s Magic | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Missgreeley’ssong | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divided | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Night | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy’s Wager | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Natural Jewel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Angel Arkie | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Building Home | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss High Heels | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time for a Song | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bind On Earth | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | French Charm | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m All Mixed Up | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lord Eminence | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Man Louie | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Three | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shankinstine | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peachy Mandate | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Jabot | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two B | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grunt | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fourtoedfred | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | K R Target | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Starship Festival | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Slow | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reposado | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Firsttimevalentine | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Flashburn | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unbridled Pulpit | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Boss Man | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jr’s Sauvage | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gottatakehimto | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zarazi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Betison | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cupie Cutie | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abigails Takeover | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Date | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Is Good | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie’s Gal | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pennie’s Magic | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mercedes Dome | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | St Josephine | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Astro Flash | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lookin for Larry | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Band’s Luck | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bernie Special | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Our Time | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamaican Me | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Punch | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unfathomed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fredonian | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Kick | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drewcitable | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dinar | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Venn | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of the Court | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Liken It | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Speaktomeoflove | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Metropol | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Relax Town | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Callthewolfe | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | U Complete Me | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trophy Daddy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pre Heat | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Strange | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bravura Creek | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Answer in the Wind | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Lucky Man | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Rapido | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tin Delay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Datswhatilike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rich Dreams | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Caused It | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | That Is Awesome | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Talking Holy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its Glitter Time | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belinda | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dontforgetrdreams | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harper Madison | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Halo | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Annie’s Luck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Untamed Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.