November 17, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Callmethebreeze | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heated Battle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | E T’s Super Star | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duck Ducky Goose | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Tommy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dream of Warrior | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bizzy Gillespie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vencil | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Late to the Show | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Repeated Promise | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slew Tang Clan | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Fleet | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taino | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Defibrillator | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yei Yei | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wick | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catch My Vibe | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Samuro | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carpenter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dennard | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dubrovsky | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strawberry Red | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cobh | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thomas Knight | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colour Guard | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Off Duty | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hollywood Overdogs | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mass Appeal | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monte Ne | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Harlan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Kowboy Karma | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Here Wego | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Haven | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pharaoh’s City | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Devine Dental | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Catch Fire | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rockin Cowboy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kid Mac Cool | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Thousand Percent | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kristi’s Copilot | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gilded Warrior | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ask Chuck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Mizshipman | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Allegretto | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunfighter’s Girl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shes Euphoric | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Yourindenial | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pasatime | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Corbally | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wonder City | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Star Luck | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Indian Counselor | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glacier Express | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cobble Hill | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weekend in Court | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Fooling Dude | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Goldenlineof | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Otis Otis Otis | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rules | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Took a Cab | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Didnt Do It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Road to Success | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Striking a Pose | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Secret Path | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mean Machine | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | This Ill Defend | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Diablo D Oro | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cobble Road | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fifty Sheas Ofgrey | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prince Champ | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waspirant | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Fine One Won | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I’m Thirsty | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charity Stripe | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Buck | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magicgirl | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Same Moon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Special Risk | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mineshaft Magic | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Included | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bonita Lassie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Flashy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Flying | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Other Things Equal | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Dude | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Gate Warrior | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marco Island | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honorable Service | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D T Goodie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie the Greek | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Exit Right | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Creative Love | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reiterate | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunday Inn | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Brazilian Bay | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Best Secrets Kept | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J J Loves Billy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karabessa | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wishes and Dreams | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woman Flyer | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tuff Bird | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mon Cherie | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bangle Gal | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.