Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 18, 2021

November 18, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shady’s Turn 15.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 My Pal Greeley 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Brush With Caution 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Toocan Dance 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Andrew’s Music 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Kitkat Kitten 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Unbridled Hope 20.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Duritz 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Brewster 2.50 6.4 12-1
8 8 Elisher 3.00 7 13-1
11 11 Lullaby Bandit 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ooby Dooby 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss Miracle Girl 15.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Abigail G 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Last Destiny 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Cajun Shots 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 C. F. Shelauh 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Saber Queen 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Quiet Barbara 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Miss Mabelee 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lukes Secret 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Canada’s Customs 10.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Lovely Lady May 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Stop Shop N Drop 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Jus Gimme a Call 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Won Day 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Wupkar 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Our Liberina 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Smiling Angel 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Knights Sword 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Charlie’s Peak 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chatain’s Flyer 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Point of Victory 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Beaux Tox 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Clocked in Tyme 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dobby Sue 3.50 5 9-1
9 8 Kellys the Boss 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Lil Hot Toddy 5.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Zydeco Music 10.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Tourrista 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Oak Hill Solution 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Buddy Reaux 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 V. R. Friendlygary 15.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Shoetrick 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Falcon Ex 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Wager No Mo 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 My Pal Pinot 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Boston Benbow 2.50 5.2 10-1
9 8 The Big Show 3.50 6.1 12-1
7 7 Mischievous Devil 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Palimonium 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Totalizer 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Lein 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 C C’s Baby Girl 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Kinley Cash 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Eternal Endeavour (GB) 2.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 River Deputy 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Goodnightsugar 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Bold Legend 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Panterita 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Dial Em In 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Poquitomas 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Cashew 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Keen On Keenan 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Coinmaker 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sapphire 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Racy Jaycee 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Erin’s Creation 3.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 C H My Last Dollar 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Jays Riverwrangler 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Chaching Bling 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Michael’s Bad Boy 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Proper Cross 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Papaws Boy 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Gonna Getcha 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Outerbanks 1.80 8.1 15-1
3 3 Bobby Boots 8.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Moonshinerboy 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hope for Change 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sweet Rachel 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Runaway Susan 12.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 Tizindy Queen 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cloudywithachance 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 I Got Wings 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Marilyn’s Magic 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Taylor’s Wish 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Shotgun Annie 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Overly Sweet 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Priddis 2.50 6.7 13-1
6 6 Mschitchattour 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.