November 18, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Commanding | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Finish | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hector B | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inner Wave | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Hombre | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Guy | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Ed | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unified Conquest | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fishing for Fun | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Arete’s Chalice | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | School Dance | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Apeal | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R Girl’s Werth It | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leviosa | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nadine’s Girl | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rough Enough | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Longing to Fly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Papa Honor | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thenorthremembers | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outshine | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Leonardo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Hawk | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castagno | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | It’s Not Easy | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spanish Noble | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willy the Shoe | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Chrome | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unsociable | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Never Satisfied | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emigrantedesilluso | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sir Samuel | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Glorious Business | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Mac Quhae | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brett’s World | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khozy My Boy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy But Smart | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tone Feelin | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Churchills Victory | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Braccio Di Ferro | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swaggy George | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Famous Gent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Flipping Fish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cocoa Icing | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Warrior (IRE) | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Speed Stef | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breehazel | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Kentucky Girl | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Unica | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frankly My Dear | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Mandate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starship Nala | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merseyside | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Compensate | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bernie’s Mistress | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Music City Star | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loriloupies | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quinoa Tifah | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chucky | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hierro | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Teufles | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boldness | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Darnley | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suleman | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ethos | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Converter | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khozando | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.