November 19, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Ashbridges Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lorena | 0.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jolene Jolene | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jilli Marie | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Equinox | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Gizmo | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Gancho | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Incendio | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hey Mickey | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Play | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor’s Passion | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | When We Connect | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pure Elegance | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zafeather | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Brew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Guitar George | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Legal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Florida Won | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester’s Destiny | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leonard’s Bay | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piccadilly Beau | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soberano (FR) | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Knopfler | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ben Lomond | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letthebighossroll | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sumerian Bell | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double the Heart | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R U Watchingbud | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Vinny | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | We Take Checks | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kuduro | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Canelito | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soup Spoon | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mia and Me | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spigetinmtzaballs | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yankee Joe | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin Good So Far | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Signature | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tarasus | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wheresthepassion | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Magic | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Dancer | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strapping | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | More Harder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pit Stop Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Trinity Gold | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Conquest | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suigu Star | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trebuchet | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Bob | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Gizmo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sun Forester | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Band Coming | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lake Ontario S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Avoman | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Reserve | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dragon’s Brew | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artie’s Storm | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Crime | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jelgo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Savvy | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bring Da Fudge | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Savvy’s Sister | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tuscan Damsel | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Archangel | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onezy’s Dream | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naked Illusion | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twomanyshots | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toy Show | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fresh Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Piquet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.