November 20, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Everesting | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Abundant Honor | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Daddy Frank (GB) | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Endowed | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | War Fighter | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Aruba | 1.80 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Greatheart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | American Law | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Zuzudini | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Royne | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Magical Marriage | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Edge | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | U. S. Steel | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fair Haired Boy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Andrew | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lyrical Poet | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King Moonracer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King James | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forgotten Mission | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Air Show | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Athenry | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | More Like It | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Dixie | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Parlor | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speeding Kid | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crypto Cash | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby I’m Perfect | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavy Roller | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Mountain | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Lincoln | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost in Rome | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Love Unlimited | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Solid Tune | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Diversion | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Masabeeh | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Belleshazza | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Time Alone | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vexednrelaxed | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Status | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Nannette No | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Pacific Grove | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | False Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Beyond the Hype | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ace Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | London Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pop the Clutch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Dream Streak | 3.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sul Pharoah | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winit | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Resilient Courage | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baj | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Water Flow | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Al’s Rocket | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Washington | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Parquetry | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King of Hollywood | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Good Medicine | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dr Brownes Miracle | 4.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pathological | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forwardly | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Drafted | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Cat | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cost Basis | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Famished | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Phil | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | T Loves a Fight | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spun and Won | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Matt Doyle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Main Event | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Labarde | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sky and Sand | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fazaro | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Piccadilly | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Outperform | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Never Change | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Ansel | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Iconic Adventure | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dads Good Runner | 10.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stannis | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Life Is Great | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ring of Fire | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nice Ace | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gins and Tins | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colton’s Command | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gussy Mac (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Harry | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scuttlebuzz | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bustin Shout | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Profile | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kawhi Me a River | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Roamie | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Red Smith S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tide of the Sea | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Price Talk | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serve the King (GB) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Word | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Channel Cat | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Value Engineering | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shamrocket | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corelli | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sanctuary City | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cave Man | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clash A. J. | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Charming | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Last Mission | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unique Unions | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catching Cupid | 1.60 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raw Courage | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bosship | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Rod Rumble | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thrill of It | 6.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.