November 20, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Marvins Gold | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | Porque Si | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
11 | 11 | Muletrain | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Cyber Gun | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Zong Tough | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Moro Pharoah | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Kasens Train | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | So Brave | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Symbol Azteca | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
5 | 5 | Indy Fireball | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Actifdash | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Black Sword | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 2 | High Cruise | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Old Indian Trick | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 3 | Double Barrel Man | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Slither | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | I’m Looking Up | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1A | 8 | Carbon Stryker | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Tapit’s Spirit | 1.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Into Wishing | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
7 | 7 | King of Contraband | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Bind Faith | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | Primary Solution | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Big Ace | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Drewmazing | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | C. F. Congress | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Ronalds Gatsby | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mo Credo | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
11 | 11 | Jeffrow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Smart Analysis | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Steppin’ Outonher | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Storm Dash | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Black Justice | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Masterly | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Crocodile Jacques | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Adios Yankee | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mr. Priority | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Warriors Gem | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Moro Said Ready | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Chimney Rock | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | My Rebel Girl | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Not Enough Bling | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Rivetrix | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Quick Heat | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Bodie On Pointe | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Flat Out Flirty | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
10 | 10 | Bind Me Up | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Streettalkinhottie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
9 | 9 | Hanging Lake | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | Velvet Isle | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Cape Town Willy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | Pat Me Down | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Red Buffalo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Jazz It Up | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | My Book | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Von Dom | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sixto | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | The Flush King | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mean Cruiser | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Quana Dude | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Mr. Paycheck | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Silver Siren | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Jet Sweep | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Birdie Call | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Spellbinding | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 1.60 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Miss Charlie Sioux | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sarah’s Passion | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Special Connection | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | My Little Jen | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Opps My Bad | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Lil Allie Dancer | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Dueforadate | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Wild Mallory | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Summertime Bandit | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Grillin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Totally Grace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Areyouinaband | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Jean Lafitte S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Indefensible | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Dancin With Angels | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Kaely’s Brother | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Bitcoin Banker | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Down Cold | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Vodka Gimlet | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
1A | 10 | Waita Minute Hayes | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Un Ojo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Ghost Cowboy | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
8 | 8 | Simply Wicked | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Conquistador Gold | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | Shanghai Brother | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Windsor Academy | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | High Priority | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Smoky Topaz | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | My Little Junior | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Xietelehuas | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Sassy’s Prospector | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Ide Like Hawaii | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Bubba Smack | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Unspoken Memories | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Zongland | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.