Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 20, 2021

November 20, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Marvins Gold 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Porque Si 8.00 3 6-1
11 11 Muletrain 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Cyber Gun 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Zong Tough 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Moro Pharoah 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Kasens Train 8.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 So Brave 3.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Symbol Azteca 5.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Indy Fireball 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Actifdash 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Black Sword 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 High Cruise 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Old Indian Trick 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 3 Double Barrel Man 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Slither 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 I’m Looking Up 12.00 3.7 7-1
1A 8 Carbon Stryker 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tapit’s Spirit 1.80 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Into Wishing 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 King of Contraband 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bind Faith 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Primary Solution 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Big Ace 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Drewmazing 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 C. F. Congress 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ronalds Gatsby 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Mo Credo 6.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Jeffrow 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Smart Analysis 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Steppin’ Outonher 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Storm Dash 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Black Justice 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Masterly 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Crocodile Jacques 12.00 4 8-1
9 8 Adios Yankee 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Mr. Priority 4.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Warriors Gem 3.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Moro Said Ready 6.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Chimney Rock 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Rebel Girl 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Not Enough Bling 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Rivetrix 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Quick Heat 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bodie On Pointe 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Flat Out Flirty 6.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Lil’ Sister Lou 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Bind Me Up 3.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 Streettalkinhottie 15.00 8 15-1
9 9 Hanging Lake 8.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Velvet Isle 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cajuns Golden Pond 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Cape Town Willy 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Pat Me Down 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Red Buffalo 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Jazz It Up 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 My Book 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Von Dom 2.50 6.1 12-1
2 2 Sixto 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 The Flush King 6.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Mean Cruiser 5.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Quana Dude 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Mr. Paycheck 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silver Siren 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Jet Sweep 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Birdie Call 20.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Spellbinding 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Quikfast N Ahurry 1.60 6.5 12-1
7 7 Miss Charlie Sioux 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Sarah’s Passion 4.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Special Connection 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Little Jen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Opps My Bad 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lil Allie Dancer 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Dueforadate 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Wild Mallory 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Summertime Bandit 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Grillin 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Totally Grace 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Areyouinaband 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Jean Lafitte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Indefensible 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Dancin With Angels 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Kaely’s Brother 1.80 2.4 4-1
6 6 Bitcoin Banker 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Down Cold 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Vodka Gimlet 10.00 3.4 6-1
1A 10 Waita Minute Hayes 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Un Ojo 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ghost Cowboy 12.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Simply Wicked 4.50 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Conquistador Gold 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Shanghai Brother 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Windsor Academy 3.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 High Priority 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Smoky Topaz 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 My Little Junior 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Xietelehuas 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Sassy’s Prospector 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Ide Like Hawaii 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Bubba Smack 8.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Unspoken Memories 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zongland 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.