November 21, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sinfully Sweet | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War in Paradise | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | New York Supreme | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acushla | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Gossip | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U Should B Dancing | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Path Less Taken | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Road to Remember | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Princess Ariyanna | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Gaze | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dakota Dancer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Steppin’ Hawk | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Madame Rose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Go Johnny Go | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crossing Verazanno | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Novel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tamburro’s Sox | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taco Bean | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Out of the Breech | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crock of Gold | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yah Huh | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Brother Neil | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Still to Come | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forestwood Lane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Notebook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Daufuskie Island | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Pietre | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bali’s Shade | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Laoban | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senbei | 0.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Emaraaty (GB) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Journeyman | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Atone | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soulmate | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer to Remember | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Factor | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Hawkish | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Analyze It | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Own Agenda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Milton the Monster | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Backsideofthemoon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Chris and Dave | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goodnight Olive | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | More Moonshine | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bravo Regina | 50.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Firing Carol | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Primacy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Girl | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Sophia | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makingcents | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cafe Society | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fight On Lucy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tempermental | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yo Cuz | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Vallelujah | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Family Band | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Louise | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laochi | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leeloo | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kisses for Emily | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Hurry Love | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Dats a Superstar | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sterling Silver | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Belarus | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mrs. Boomer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Raymond Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Address (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Go Mo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tass | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Edge | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gogo Shoes | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amalfi Princess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bold Confection | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | So Gracious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Halo City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Prairie Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | My Sweet Wife | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Stolen Holiday | 3.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss J McKay | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Fawzia | 4.50 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | High Tide | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brazillionaire | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Public Information | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Torres Del Paine | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American d’Oro | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | F F Rocket | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Restored Order | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Vincent | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Montatham | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Dad | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Albie | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Blu Grotto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Texas Swing | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | No Burn | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Corkman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Frenchboro | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Key Cents S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Classy Edition | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Makin My Move | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Fist | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Heart | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tosconova Beauty | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shesawildjoker | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captainsdaughter | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Alacrity | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Lucky Lucas | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run White Rabbit | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unlikely | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Motion to Strike | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Colton | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Mo’s Cat | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rogers Ginger | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devour | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Partner’s Hope | 1.60 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Camouflaged Kisser | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Chase the Cat | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Morethanaconqueror | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Charleston Strong | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jack’s Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mister J T | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.