November 21, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pilot Episode | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Dream | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teacher’s Pet | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reinforced | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In My Opinion | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Belle | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piquet | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Modus Operandi | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Close Image | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Veil | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Make No Mistake | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Leon Azul | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | West Paw | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lucky Girasol | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pluie d’Avril | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Respect | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Anita Grigio | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – South Ocean S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lois Len | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swinging Mandy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ya Mar | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Girl Sky | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allpaidup | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thatsitthatsall | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loaded Vixen | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gloriannia | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ride the Wind | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cleomenes | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Meet the Soprano | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hatmaker Holiday | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shes the North | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moonlit Silence | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billyjane | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trading Bay | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Khozzy Valintine | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Appeal | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princessofthenorth | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Menagerie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catiche | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spooky Spice | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tudor Peak | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Offense | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salada | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donnarumma | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Treason | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Justin’s Way | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late Surge | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Repeat the Heat | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Giant One | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ascot Bay | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spring Mountain | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allegorical | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point to the Stars | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ngabe | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doinggoodtrouble | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Full Screen | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ski Patrol | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Shipping | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | H C Holiday | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Scholar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Three | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rookie Radar | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belentime | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ascending Moon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Killary | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Truecrest | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starlight Ridge | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Livin in the Six | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ima Beast | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Dahlia | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Causeway | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Careless Heiress | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sterling Speed | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Pecan | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunsprite | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marais | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Old Secrets | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Frost King S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gatling Gun | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Whisper | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir for Sure | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Neal | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucys Child | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Runner | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J M R Best of Turf | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cape Cod | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Borders | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pharaoh’s Triumph | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abisko | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grandson | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Danger | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maritime Mission | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Racing in the Rain | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Jojomar | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Party of No | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | U S Army Corps | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Parmigiano | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artie My Boy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamondback | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Major | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Jax | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Right to Strike | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pickhimupsup | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr Chappell | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Polydeuces | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wenjack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Time Gizmo | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Ride | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mane Society | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.