November 25, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Meg | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tranquil Sky | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fancysoul | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chelichna | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky of Dreams | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smarty Illusion | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thatnightintoronto | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Thrill Me | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Pesaro | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Final Trick | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Let’s Have Fun | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devine Dancing | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shishka | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flawless Pink | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elite Princess | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flat Out Fabulous | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tara Empire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Real Coal | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Lily | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ever So d’Wild | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anita Grigio | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gelato Amore | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fresh Dreams | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Guroo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Airy Fairy | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Princessa Polly | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Edition | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cora | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Vixen | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sea Fret | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bellaspina | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ms. P’s Bella | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crumlin Bird | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cosmic Shot | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Katy and Emma | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daredevil Is Back | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Distorted Success | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gormley Girl | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Paradigm Shift | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violet Jessop | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J M R Gemma | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Fencer | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Black Taffy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bird Savvy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassywithattitude | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Venenosa | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Formentor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Laila’s Charm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Simple Souvenir | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fionnuala | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Is There a Forest | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Ticket | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frame This | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Gauge | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ninja Princess | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatswrongwithyou | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | English Classic | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | St. Paddy’s Daddy | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Siakam | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquer Him | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hiatus | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gendragon | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thru the Vine | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wings of Victory | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Luke | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dominant Factor | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Fire | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Afleet Eddie | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Son of My Father | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Where’s Ned | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | According to Code | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | L’Etat (GER) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Milwaukee Fibolt | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Bounce | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.