December 1, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Loco Lucy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shooting Stick | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roaring Quinn | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Dakota | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valid Break | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mackenzie’s Halo | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kudos to You | 1.80 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apriority Girl | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Janet’s Devil | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star and a Half | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Donnie Boy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smooth River | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Home Visit | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charco | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Toosie | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Expectation | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St Josephine | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astro Flash | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Rose | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Glow | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pennie’s Magic | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | T R’s First | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | L G Girl | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Beaux | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funny Actor | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Leo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | First Metal Count | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Chaching Bling | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Boots | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Nate | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Driver | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River King | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bet Again | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steppin’ Outonher | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Graceful | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dutchman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Such | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Wined Up | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liam Skye | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz One Fee | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Texas Rule | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Max Bet | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zyzack | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonshinerboy | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proper Cross | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlins Capo | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sailing Jett | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crown Rocket | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Range of Motion | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yank Crime | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Frank the Mayor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Jackman | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Velvet Ridge | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dried Pepper | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scrappy Artie | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dusty Hill | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outerbanks | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dust Em | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Station | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jazz It Up | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Frenchie Frou Frou | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Storied Trip | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | She Is a Bling | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Swanee Beach | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Izeonpoint | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bind Me Up | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Olivia’s Duchess | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Milagros | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Be a Bandit | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Dixieland Dream | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hoyam | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Agirlnamedsyd | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Baby Bele | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blameitonthejock | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alberta Moon | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Customs Bella Ella | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kasen’s Sister | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss E. Fu | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go My Juliet | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cleverinda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Neverland Band | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Lumberjack Empire | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Custom Made | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Grace’s Vision | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.