December 2, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Waxman | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rational Choice | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Sugar | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scalding | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mandatory | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Law | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kept Waiting | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fetching | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grudge | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Get the Candy | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Show Me the Honey | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Constitution | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Honey Money | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Quality Stones | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Esotica | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Impazible Donna | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Beautiful Karen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Prairie Fire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Social Whirl | 2.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Saigon | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beat by a Rose | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saluki | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exfiltration | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Thornhill | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Duckphat | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Out of Sight | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Causeway of Dreams | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit the Nail | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Landslid | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frosty Brew | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boss Lady Kim | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Radio Days | 0.40 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Waterworks | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luz | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Tiny Dancer | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | My Friend Duke | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Built to Last | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Red Fortress | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandrone | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sell Something | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Got It | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Up | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing With Rico | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Carp Diem | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ripe for Mischief | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buckortwo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chief Engineer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mrtandroseysboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | U Kant Whip It | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bointheback | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moonrock | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rosey’s Peach | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cadeau de Paix | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Al’s Gal | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Electric Youth | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chloe Rose | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | April Antics | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reckless Spirit | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Voliero | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alley Oop Johnny | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Front Man | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orb in the Tower | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bricco | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steelersfanforlife | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Joe | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Perceived | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Prince James | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Therisastormbrewin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Giocare | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Be Yourself | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Girl Dad | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fingal | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrio | 3.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Advise and Consent | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Public Information | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carrothers | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caveat Emptor | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Tide | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Danzigwiththestars | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My First Grammy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Three Jokers | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dust Devil | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rocco Strong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Space Launch | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Authorize | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Levy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Flight | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Constitutionlawyer | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Citizen Mack | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irie Spice | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vodka Mardini | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gunton Roe | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Courvoisier | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curteis | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.