December 3, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Anna Clause | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abigails Takeover | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knights Sword | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ravens Bling | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Order Up Another | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Ridge Romance | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Belle | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Unbridled Pulpit | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unbelievable Catch | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daves Friend Dewey | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Proud Boy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Rachel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Power Serve | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rock On Cowboy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Preoccupied | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Anatole | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Indiscreet | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Charlie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run to Blade | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brimestone Kid | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sadie’s Light | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | It’s a Bird | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In a Bind | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goodrockinalvin | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rodessa Flash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Justa Buster | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Lein | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grace of David | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Costa Sugar | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Deputy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodnightsugar | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malartach | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blue Ridge Queen | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Birdcatmouse | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Point of Victory | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clocked in Tyme | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Rebel | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Amen | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zydeco Music | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | K R Lucky Day | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Priority | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Swimhard Dreambig | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dreamer’s Delight | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Country Cut | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zultan | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cottonwood | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golduster | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Artie | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palimonium | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Streamer | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Who Dat Grey | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Sunrise | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crossed the Line | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Fashion | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crider Chase | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Us Second Cute Pie | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dianna’s Jet | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Racelynn | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mean American | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Late Nite Mischief | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guitarzan | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zitman | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honoring Major | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Halo | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moment | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Post Close | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Powered | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley’s Dealer | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bajan Cash | 8.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Muscadine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | King of the Testo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Conative | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Callthewolfe | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honorarian | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dreamonmebaby | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Ready Redding | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quana Dude | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Me Back | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | I’m Always Late | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pat Me Down | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Special Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.