December 4, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fenwick | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Script | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Term | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rhumjar | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Braille | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Lights | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opportunity Set | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bold Honor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Go All In | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dream Central | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Natural | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Lies | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Cod Causeway | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Rebel | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cara’s Daydreamer | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Robyn and Eli | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Glory | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Empire Lily | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wicked Lady | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Starship Laoban | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Know It All Audrey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Mistress | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valentia Island | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | False Hope | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cucina | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Artemus Citylimits | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Competitive Saint | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Town of Gold | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballydooley (GB) | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scuttlebuzz | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Getaway | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guildsman (FR) | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chestertown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Where You Was | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mr Phil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wudda U Think Now | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Foolish Ghost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Answer In | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Regal Quality | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kumar | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Aura | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sicilia Mike | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legit | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O Shea Can U See | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Lincoln | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Direct Order | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runningforhome | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rosebug | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marketsegmentation | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Empress At War | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willakia | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For the Flag | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Place | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ace Girl | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Etheric | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ever Summer | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Invincible | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Belleshazza | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | U Kant Whip It | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kobe’s Legacy | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Urban Forest | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chucka Moon | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fiery Heart | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carpe’s Dream | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stjames | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pipito | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Rvindicated | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Blame B B | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Muttley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Straight Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Good Tip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | R Doc | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King of Hollywood | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Go For Wand H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Truth Hurts | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Rocket | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Way | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Vita | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Starr | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Marissa | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Darn Hot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Remsen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Chrome | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eloquist | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Donegal | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zandon | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fromanothamutha | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Jefferson | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Judge Davis | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Demoiselle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Full Count Felicia | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nostalgic | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Interpret | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Circle | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Venti Valentine | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Essence | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nest | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap the Faith | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cigar Mile H. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ginobili | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Following Sea | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olympiad | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pipeline | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Americanrevolution | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plainsman | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Independence Hall | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Code of Honor | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.