December 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Perpetuate | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Speed Queen | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Avendore | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Majestic Ways | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | American Reality | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Hey Sissy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Rememberin Ronald | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Sangria City | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Taylors Babe | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Georgia Dawn | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | First Empress | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Minji | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Love to Learn | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Memory Magic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Lulumaru | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Kris T. | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Bar Tap | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Half a Bell | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Loco Poco | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Time to Sleep | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Double Appeal | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Sho Nuff | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Silver Maid | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | In for a Penny | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Julio Choice | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Bridled Up | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Invasors Wind | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Singinginthewind | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Dealin’ Stelen | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Town Drunk | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Hardcore Folklore | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Temprano | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Familiar Rhythm | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Paddock Pick | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Southpine Gift | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Gray Dane | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Totalizer | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Regal Prize | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | V. R. Friendlygary | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | The Heat Is On | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Mischievous Devil | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Peachy Mandate | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | The Big Show | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Cyber Sneaker | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
10 | 10 | Angel Arkie | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Heather Divine | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Agirlnamedsyd | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Salesgirl | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Miss High Heels | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Wherethemoneywent | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Time for a Song | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | French Charm | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
11 | 11 | Rivetrix | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Hanging Lake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Doha | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Miss Miracle Girl | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | Kohensrising | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
10 | 10 | Wind Zee | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Smoothoutthetrack | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Abigail G | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | She’s Our Star | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Missgreeley’ssong | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | C. F. Shelauh | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Miss Mabelee | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Gifted Talent | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Arctic Guitar | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Cadillac Ridge | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Visionofwildtimes | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | She’s My Priority | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Mizzen Monarch | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | Kappa Hill | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Miss Manassas | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Non Binding | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Scrapbook | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Keen On Keenan | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Miss Invader | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Theboyzhour | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Parlay Pete | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Preacher | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Farewell Time | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Royal Privacy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Lunar Light | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Moro Said Ready | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Crimson Zip | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
9 | 9 | Top Brass | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Allthewaywithtaye | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.