Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 4, 2021

December 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Perpetuate 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Speed Queen 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Avendore 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Majestic Ways 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 American Reality 15.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hey Sissy 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Rememberin Ronald 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sangria City 2.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Taylors Babe 5.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Georgia Dawn 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 First Empress 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Minji 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Love to Learn 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Memory Magic 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lulumaru 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Kris T. 2.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Bar Tap 4.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Half a Bell 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Loco Poco 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Time to Sleep 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Double Appeal 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Sho Nuff 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Silver Maid 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 In for a Penny 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Julio Choice 2.50 5 9-1
9 9 Bridled Up 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Invasors Wind 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Singinginthewind 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Dealin’ Stelen 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Town Drunk 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Hardcore Folklore 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Temprano 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Familiar Rhythm 10.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Paddock Pick 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Southpine Gift 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gray Dane 12.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Totalizer 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Regal Prize 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 V. R. Friendlygary 12.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 The Heat Is On 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Mischievous Devil 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Peachy Mandate 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 The Big Show 2.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cyber Sneaker 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Angel Arkie 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Heather Divine 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Agirlnamedsyd 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Salesgirl 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Miss High Heels 3.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Wherethemoneywent 6.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Time for a Song 5.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 French Charm 10.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Rivetrix 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hanging Lake 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Doha 4.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Miracle Girl 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Kohensrising 20.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Wind Zee 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Smoothoutthetrack 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Abigail G 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 She’s Our Star 15.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Missgreeley’ssong 3.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 C. F. Shelauh 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Miss Mabelee 10.00 7 13-1
4 4 Gifted Talent 4.50 8.5 16-1
11 11 Arctic Guitar 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cadillac Ridge 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Visionofwildtimes 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 She’s My Priority 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Mizzen Monarch 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Kappa Hill 4.50 5 9-1
2 2 Miss Manassas 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Non Binding 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Scrapbook 3.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Keen On Keenan 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Miss Invader 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Theboyzhour 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Parlay Pete 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Preacher 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Farewell Time 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Royal Privacy 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lunar Light 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Moro Said Ready 3.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Crimson Zip 6.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Top Brass 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Allthewaywithtaye 8.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.