December 4, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Swagger | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dial Emma Reilly | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cruz in the Castle | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Notion Interruptus | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windrush Karma | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suzzette Star | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless Lassie | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Totally Perfect | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Dame | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pass It On | 0.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quite Ready | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hampden Lane | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whizwit | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lantau | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Micro Star | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mocephus | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outkissed | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | McCain | 0.00 | 0.5 | 1-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey and You | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caribbean (AUS) | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Jack | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor the Fleet | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arthur’s Hope | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miranda’s Desmond | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Wildcat | 0.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mattitude | 0.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Response Time | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hufflepuff | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calypso Ghost | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Luna | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Good | 0.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marvella Nasty | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Dare Me | 0.00 | 0.4 | 1-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Francis X. | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sheriff Chip | 0.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Disputed Notion | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Factor | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesummer | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Billingsgate | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deshackled | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Rain | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mutakaamil | 0.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rookie Salsa | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kenny Had a Notion | 0.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Day | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Arion | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Dalton | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valued Notion | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Spun and Won | 0.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Powerfully Built | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mojovation | 0.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Karan’s Notion | 0.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maryland Juvenile Fillies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Click to Confirm | 0.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sommer Velvet | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kilimanjara | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Gracie | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Preparefortakeoff | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sparkle Sprinkle | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Thoughts | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buff My Boots | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzy | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Belle | 0.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jester Calls Nojoy | 0.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maryland Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crabs N Beer | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kobe Tough | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vance Scholars | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alottahope | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We B Shackin | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coastal Mission | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Mox | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Local Motive | 0.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salamina | 0.00 | 0.5 | 1-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trikki Nikki | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laughin’ Place | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Live Aid | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Always Something | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wrapper Rule | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party At Page’s | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Old Bay | 0.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.