December 4, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Itsy Bitsy Betty | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Coralena | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Alpha Bella | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Penny | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caged Bear | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Chrome | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Briar Thicket | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candywrapper Crazy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Home Brew | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Connection | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Genius | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charter Oak | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry’s Eighty | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch the Smoke | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Again | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coal Truth | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunka Burning Love | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arrival | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knight’s Cross | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Echo (GB) | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapage | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cashanova | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hardly a Secret | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Taishan | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Map | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indimaaj | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prodigious Bay | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Defender | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ego | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tillis | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Home Run Trick | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chicory Blue | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Zenucci | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | American Dubai | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Colonel Talbot | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pepper Pike | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Dot | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slick Silver | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tough Company | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Blueridge Traveler | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Revenio | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Major Attraction | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Major Brown | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Capture the Glory | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Americain Joey | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smart Time | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Michael | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Praetorian | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secretary At War | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whenthedovescry | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | News Box | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pull My Chain | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bebop Shoes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Slim Man | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Off the Cuff | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Switzer | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pressure | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | G T Three Fifty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Scotch No Rocks | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Matts Fire N Ice | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miniconjou | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Life On the Nile | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Impact | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Island Music | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goin to the Show | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Money Mike | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edge to Edge | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lamutanaatty | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reprobate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Windcracker | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Name Rejected | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Navy Seal | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bandit Point | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can Imagine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mistletoe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Oliviaofthedesert | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lovely Ride | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Amendment Nineteen | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Semble Juste (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Willful Woman | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mariah’s Princess | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bobbin Tail | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sunny Isle Beach | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marion Francis | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Suki | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gar Hole | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You Vee Cee | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Success | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Serbian Sailor | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Traffic Control | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Topf Road Rules | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellamys Roan | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Dixie | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Forsaken | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Appeal | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chiki Boy | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cyber Monday | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holding Pattern | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | J’s Little Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.