December 4, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Legs Like Shack | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Diamond Crush | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pictureday Jessica | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dontcallmesweety | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tally Road | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carla’s Honor | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stole the Ring | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Fencer | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phil in Echo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vermont Holiday | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Knopfler | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mister Oakley | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dancing Derek | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chasing Vinny | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R U Watchingbud | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Melody | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kuduro | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Itmakesmewonder | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Keen Samurai | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Northern Solution | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artistico | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valhalla Air Base | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lake Shore Drive | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maakwa | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wave Baby | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tragically Quewick | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Narcissistic | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ignited | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exceed | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Redoute’s Light | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miracle Silver | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Guitar George | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Self Inflicted | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Forester’s Destiny | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucas n’ Lori | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | D’s Ben | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Florida Won | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Street Legal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ice Challenge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Jegos Fire | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | First Spring | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Sweepin Hard | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Suitedconnected | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blockbuster | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bocelli | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Luke | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Karakontie Pat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Siakam | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Denmark | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Liverpool Man | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Better Boogie | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Time Gizmo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pickhimupsup | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Capture the Ride | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frac Attack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Silencium | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sir for Sure | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hilarious Affair | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citrus Boy | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Langstaff Road | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Warp Ride | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mentoring | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Arkle | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Queens Quay | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea to Air | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pot Committed | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cerebro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Collaborative | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tuff Rags | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Primordial Fear | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Scoot Daddy | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Mybudget | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oceans of Love | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beat the System | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merveilleux | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Katherine | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady War Machine | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosebud’s Hope | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Above All Names | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Ride | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Striker | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Money Printer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wora | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Have a Souper Day | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 13 | Downy Boy | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Aim for the Sky | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Breaking Alone | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Souper Classy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Perfect Crime | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Momentus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Nashtrick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Soul Freedom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Danfusi | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | There’s No Joe | 25.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Victor’s Dynasty | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Hierarchy | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Steady Growth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Dun Drum | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artie’s Storm | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Reserve | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Told It All | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dotted Line | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Timeskip | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Magical Man | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Full Extreme | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prideofdistinction | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Argentium | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – La Prevoyante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Summer Sunday | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | November Fog | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Wedding | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Vision | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Tango | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Livin On Luv | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jolene Jolene | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Causeway | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Dahlia | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Livin in the Six | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lady Moonshine | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Treat | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twister Alert | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Ginger | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hard Edge | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Using Coconuts | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ashbury | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shan’s Tiger | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imaginary Sky | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Crescent | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tranquil Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classy Gizmo | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jokers Run | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Born to Be Good | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Katy and Emma | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cliff’s Head | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Regal Billee | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Parable | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bellaspina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Avie’s Sky | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mi Tormenta | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Vixen | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Kelly | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Meadow | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Ascot | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nice Company | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Gem | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.