Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 5, 2021

December 5, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Lou’s Arrow 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Roll Dinero Roll 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 3 Holding Pattern 3.00 4.4 8-1
1A 7 Braska 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 1 Dancin Rocket 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 6 Slightly Crafty 3.50 5 9-1
6 4 Lucks Big Boy 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 5 My Kinda Teton 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 3 Riante Sky 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Right Trappe 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Italian Twin 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Trumpet Lilly 1.80 2.9 5-1
1 1 Guana Cay 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Flashy Biz 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Lea Ro 4.50 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Peaceful Street 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Drifter 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Little Frappucino 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Blues Tune 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Glassato 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Bourbon Delight 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 We Thank You 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Rowley’s Dream 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Side Bet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Major Attraction 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Knights Key 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Blueridge Traveler 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Slick Silver 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Paul the Waiter 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Revenio 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Foxy Ace 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Warrior’s Battle 2.00 2.2 4-1
9 7 Ain’t She a Pistol 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Pepper Point 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Baby It’s You 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Burning Bush 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Gracie Will Smile 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Keino 4.00 6 11-1
3 2 Fashionably Quick 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Ella’s Vision 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rowdy Daisy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 True Saint 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Replete 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 2 El Bohemio 4.50 3.6 7-1
10 6 Arch Ability 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 Ravens Reflection 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 5 Dr. Forman 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tentwelvefourteen 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Olson 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Stormin Hongkong 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cabot 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Seal Beach 2.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Rewire 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Oiler 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Driven One 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dash Attack 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Goin to the Show 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Rider’s Special 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Summer in Malibu 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Kentucky Bourbon 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Top Gunner 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Cowan 1.80 4.6 9-1
5 5 Mo’s Mojo 6.00 5 9-1
9 8 Causeway Jones 4.00 5 10-1
10 9 Marvin 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Bull Hollow 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Manhattan Up 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Chipofftheoldblock 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 W W Scout’s Honor 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Vulcan 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Too Pretty 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Heated Argument 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 The Mary Rose 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Kaboom Baby 3.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Matapan 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Euro Me 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Proud Victoria 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Tapit Right 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Willow Moon 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Ms Sassy Atitude 15.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Lady Astrid 15.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.