December 7, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Estate | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justhappy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Collin’s Grey Lady | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Martini Twist | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Daze | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bienvenue | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Streak | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Buck | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pecan Pattie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grace’s Drama | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tomarie | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Subsidiary | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Raphael | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Risk | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Amanjena | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Bonus | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Beautiful Wall | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Oberon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Excalibur | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Thrifty | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Hero | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Spoke | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sinashack | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lazaretto | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Right Path | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Fast | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Goodtime Charlie | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defibrillator | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catch My Vibe | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Recall | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | La La Lucy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Emma’s Touch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shez a Doubletake | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | A Looker | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’sfirstclass | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Early Edition | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Joy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Nutter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jamminwithbrandon | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | They Shot Sonny | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kingsville | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sevier | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Manolete | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Relishment | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Genghis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glory Dia | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shesalittle Edgy | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Mamaluke | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madam Meena | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m the Talent | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promised Storm | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ronin Warrior | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | French Toast | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roan Mountain | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Jones Boy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Successful Cure | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kid d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Am Redeemed | 1.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Over Sensual | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Buddy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disco Ebo | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Code | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wispering Springs | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allevare | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champion by Design | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Steve | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Witty | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Center Mid Maddie | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vine Jet | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Niangua | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | City Guy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Master of War | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Officer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Private Network | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hachacha | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Best Start | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brew Dog | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judicial Restraint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.