December 8, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grand Prado | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brad Eye | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kinlee’s Song | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty Protection | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Perigee | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ebony Flash | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diablo Cat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Real Brave | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Guy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tensas Toddy | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purim King | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Verdict | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw X. | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That’s D ‘cat | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toe Bandit | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Struttin Apriority | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | My Man Louie | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Cheerfor Mshawish | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Drewmazing | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Starship Festival | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie T | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Big Sessy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Two B | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Social Afleet | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | He Takes Charge | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | December Seven | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Speedy Fellar | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | St. Louie Guy | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bow and Arrow | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Stephen’s Answer | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Buxterhooter | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovethatcause | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Pinch Assault | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Aurelia Factor | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isolation | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miami Rose | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Roulette | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She a Hot Mess | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Prize | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Jewels | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gee Gee | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suckerforagrey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Humor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zoom Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stop the Friend | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prayers Saved | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ma Cher Amio | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mave Runner | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alys Episode | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harriet’s Dream | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C C Crown’s Choice | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rockett Magic | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Mine Me | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Here Comes Linda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pricey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chatain’s Gift | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gracida | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Masterly | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galaxy Builder | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roux Ga Roux | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nippy Red | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kierkegaard | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Krafty Boy | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Warriors Gem | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frank the Mayor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 11 | Laddie Boy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Free Indeed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | C C’s Baby Girl | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bow Bow Girl | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enduring Peace | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ivorysgoldtreasure | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orb’s Soul | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moorac | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Limitless Mazie | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oh My Oh | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Priddis | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Moon | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whipum Naenae | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Misty Veil | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yankee Be True | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lucca’s Lilyby | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rich Dreams | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadesofgraymiss | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Takenforgranted | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dontforgetrdreams | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancer On the Sand | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grace’s Vision | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Slewpy’s Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Linda Lou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.