December 9, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Lady | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noli Temere | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Know It All Audrey | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doc Doc Rock | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen’s Warrant | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caragate | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keen Dancer | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rcaptivating | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Meraviglioso | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eudaimonia | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Can’t Catch Kacy | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Racing Queen | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Endless Crusade | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boom Roasted | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Lisa | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled’s Reign | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Giggling Ghost | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Write the Check | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Kisses | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jet Set Juliet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | The Honorable Ruth | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Addilyn | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Effiemeister | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Ms Scarlet | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baba | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Stay Home | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Speed | 50.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesomenewyear | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guns Blazing | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Danny Deep Cuts | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trappeze Artist | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Invest | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnetron | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Marble Moon | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ashaar | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blood Moon | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kampai | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Command | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Playwright | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flowers for Lisa | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Thought | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Kokutai | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Inkblot | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ofalltheginjoints | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Empire State | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bistrita | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kitty Tin Tin | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Lost Anchor | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Angie At Theoffice | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Classic Miss | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pals Ally | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | London Pearl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Credit Suspended | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bells On Her Toes | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Confection | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greatest Love | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Meghan | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oxana | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy to Bless | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dealing Justice | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Raven Rocks | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flipping Fun | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rickys Revenge | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hangar One | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ernie Banker | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Litterbox | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brunate | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Irish | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Chrome | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Towering Orbit | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Behind the Couch | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Honey | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Annie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cinderella’s Cause | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Cara | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Color Chart | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheatham Hill | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mosienko | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quantitativbreezin | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.