December 9, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Raise You | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Limbo’s Promise | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rusty Cage | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jake the Band Man | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Looking Up | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Polo Art | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coco Tiger | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curtin’s Up | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Available Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Girl Thirsty | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Harlans Warrior | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Honest Woman | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Fianna Hills | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Panterita | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Honest N Lucky | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Happy Sonrisa | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz One Fee | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Production | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Scarlet Storm | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boston Lucille | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Snapperee | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lacis Jewel | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Caliente Lady | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s Peak | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Charlie T | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smiling Angel | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courtly Doc | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roseisalwaysrite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thirtyeight | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Fitz | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Fortunate Son | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm the Field | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Pegasus | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Berti | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer Pride | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | David’s Grace | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sugarland Express | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shady Monkey | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sing Loud | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gabi’s Goldenheart | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apriority Lady | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Track Queen | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Custom Made | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Deposit | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simple Sunday | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Ghost | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Little Girl | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Breach | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Kick N Kiss | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bind On Earth | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sassy Mallory | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Marquee Moment | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Every Day | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G Kate | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Seventeen | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Underrated | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ella’s Lil Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bind Me Up | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lenape Drive | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spread the Faith | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kensley’s Hippie | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pray Ide Sing | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aw Shucks | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasin Gracie | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunnyonastormyday | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broad Decision | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Special Star | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | War Song | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | B B Moody | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Sarcastic Tone | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Love to Singh | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mischief’s Machine | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Copper King | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elusive d’Oro | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bode’s Light | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Jackman | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | American Code | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Believe in Parts | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Star Express | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zongland | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Curlin | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gildersleeve | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shady’s Turn | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dryspell | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toocan Dance | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elisher | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lullaby Bandit | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brush With Caution | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sassy’s Prospector | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.