December 9, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Juanandora | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuffology | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 2 | My Girl Em | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Hanging Lake | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Ibegtodiffer | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 5 | She’s a Fair Catch | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Midnight Trip | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Artistic Jewler | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goingtoagogo | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Bella | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Diva | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Varsity Flygirl | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nofansinthestands | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Henny | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Queen’s Mission | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Little Flyer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gilded Apple | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Musada | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C F Johnathan | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cryptorithm | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ambassador House | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starvictory | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Zippin Gigi | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Side Bar (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Asset Talent | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silent Tap | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Nuggets | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shadyfied | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wine to Roses | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bucky Bik Coin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Citizen West | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Citadel | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cypriano | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desoto’s War | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Cheetah | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fiftyfive Strong | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Words of Wisdom | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Minnesota Ready | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faith Runner | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rule the Empire | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | East of India | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Practice Squad | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baltic Fleet | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Splendor | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Serape | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canada’s Customs | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connect It | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bode’s Connection | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anita’s Vision | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Et | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whimsical Lady | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Commander Khai | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Biarritz | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Tapizars Secret | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intimidation | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Boy Elm | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palvera | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hug the Munny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Great King (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Chimney Rock | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | O’L Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Blue Note | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Into Wishing | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Lightning | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bodee Bodee | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scoring Drive | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cherokee Takeover | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letstakeitoutside | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic’s Omega | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nice Star | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ls’shoe’s Image | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rock Star Alex | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Leo | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.