December 10, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Necromancer | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Revolution | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Printrack | 0.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aranjuez | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Any Minute | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Fact | 50.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Skate | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dontbelate | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Boy Cheekum | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cazilda Fortytales | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Investment Grade | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polished Gem | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Bea Star | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High School Crush | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanes Pretty Lady | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calibogue Sound | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Holmdel Park | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Roxy Girl | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cartwheel | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Fire | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Beauty | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nurse Rachett | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viradia | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diva Banker | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Confectioner | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quintarelli | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Boy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Tom B | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Merchants of Cool | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deputy Flag | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our American Star | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Papa Smooth | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sixteen Tons | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Eddie the Great | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Barone Marchis | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kane | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Always Charming | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mango Beach | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Samurai | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Hot Stepper | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Vibe Setter | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Koosman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miracle Nicky | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | C. B Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Appalachian Legend | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Empire Station | 8.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Something Majestic | 8.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Witch Hunter | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caramocha | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amity Island | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pendolino | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destinationwnrscir | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That Is Key | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raffinity | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coffee Bar | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empires First Lady | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Repo Rocks | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risk Profile | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fitzpatrick | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Send the Word | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Siena Magic | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sibelius | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | American Monarch | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Anything Pazible | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Africa | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flatter Me Please | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Shout | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bail Out the Bank | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Johnny Go | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Jerome | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oliver’s Fortune | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Mayor | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bohemian Ruby | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Karma | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonic Speed | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flintshire’s Rock | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yah Huh | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.