December 10, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lukes Secret | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divided | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy’s Wager | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pricey | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Tensas | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Night | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy War | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Audacious Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | True Red Slew | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yankee Seven | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slither | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Laughingsaintssong | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thatsafactjack | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Double Star | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Bert | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hostile Afleet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Etbauer’s Secret | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justa Buster | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Charlie’s Town | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Cpriority | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Silver Chalice | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Frank Leroy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Production Time | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Blue Sky Flash | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Speedofthespeed | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Desiard | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nosbor | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Homeland Messa | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saponi | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jonathan Who | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Flush King | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rockin Rog | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelous Red | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Appeal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | G Don’t Know | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Friendofthecourt | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big If True | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Da Due Run Run | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Kennedy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carondelet | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Beast | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Molly Golightly | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Smiles | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sobek | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Slow | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oops Wediditagain | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Bullet | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last to Know | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sournois | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Pokerface | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Mistake | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Datswhatilike | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sixto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Pal Mattie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oneholylion | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Marvin | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes Bab | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jamaican Me | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Trip | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zcat’s Chatain | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Can | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Custom Deelite | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Punch | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Spirit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Beauty Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fort Knox | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bistraya | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fredonian | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Venn | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Bold Thirst | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Dean Martini | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Rightandjust | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speaktomeoflove | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Nate’s Attack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Muscadine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zeatrical | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Songs Discreet Cat | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suni Laluni | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | T W N Letsgogirl | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Caused It | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizindy Queen | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mschitchattour | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tenacious Faith | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cabeza de Tortuga | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marilyn’s Magic | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Little Guera | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hairtrigger Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.