December 10, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cave Run | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firery Tale | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin for Eight | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Detonator | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rampage | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Knievel | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suggested | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abdan | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Time | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Heat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ponti Poker | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warning Label | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Well Spent | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Invaluable | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chakra | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sav | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Catechism | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gurl You Fine | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cherished | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fort Ridge | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Horse Greedy | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fixico | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Venue | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Hongkong | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seek N Justice | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Past Post | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can Imagine | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tentwelvefourteen | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catch a Whiff | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Punchy Girl | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valentine Angel | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Day Lassie | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wishin and Hopin | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | War Music | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Milliganmikeandme | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deronda | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lightning Hart | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hamazing Debate | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gold Strategy | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pattern Bet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | She’s Hamazing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Li’l Tootsie | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abrogate | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toccata | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Diamond | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Full of Soul | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Someone Said So | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Prioritization | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Outlier | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jay Vee Bee | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Southerner | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Leading West | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Optimus Kat | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tango Charlie | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pats Property | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wherever He Is | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shofar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nashville | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nuclear Option | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Home Base | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hollis | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Jagermeister | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lykan | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Firecrow | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Hot Topic | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Salute the Flag | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kizzy B | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Upandcomingstar | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | November Rose | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aidanike | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martique Miss | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Terranova | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Grace’s Secret | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Commander | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Church Service | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Con | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.