December 11, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Firsttimevalentine | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Macho Mark | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | And Yet Another | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheeseburger | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Gottatakehimto | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Big Irishman | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Proper Cross | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Papaws Boy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jet Sweep | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly Away | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Schiff’s Corner | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saber Cut | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raider | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rush Hour Traffic | 1.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Charlie Gras | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Citizens Reward | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Her Great Grandpa | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stingray Slayer | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go My Juliet | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oak Hill Seniorita | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alhambra Palace | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rivetrix | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Younmehoneybunny | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gaby’s Promise | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chicken Or the Egg | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wish for Interest | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drop o’ Chocolate | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m All Mixed Up | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mess | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dejoke’s Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | M and M’s Custom | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marvins Gold | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blazing Charlie | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dale’s Lil Bro | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Little Junior | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ide B Stranded | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smoky Topaz | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Big Daddy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hip Four O Four | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oscar Choice | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Voyant | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kingston Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Foursweetnieces | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Building Home | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goodnight Gracie | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Crown | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mamas Gone Crazy | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | D’wild Baroness | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Be Gone | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Track Smart | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twn Ms Midship | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Times Rollin | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin for Larry | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stealing Apriority | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steal It Back | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Society | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leyton’s Hippie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Fire | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jays Riverwrangler | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashburn | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robtadi Storm | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indefensible | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D T’s Dream | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Down Cold | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ottoman Empire | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buddy Reaux | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exclaim | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Wicked | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wedington | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Cowboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | That Is Awesome | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Annie’s Luck | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Untamed Money | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Linda Lou | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cleverinda | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Klassy Point | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Sensation | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Remi’s Rose | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Froideur | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slewpy’s Halo | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.