December 12, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unherdof | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Boss Lady | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Street | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | And Isles | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Cloud | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Very Spicy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kilgore | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Choctaw | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Botany | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hacker | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Smokin Boots | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonshine Max | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sobriety | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Degray | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Arkansas Zong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brice | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exulting | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hardly a Secret | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go for Sherrie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gagoots | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hooked a Goodwin | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Beat Me | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hellephent | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lead Off | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Good So Far | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drifter | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Remember Normandy | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pikachu | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raise the Purses | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Wherever He Is | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Assumption | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speightstown Again | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Rate | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chase Tracker | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Minister | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Charliecando | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So Brave | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Orbit | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Rags | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maasai Warrior | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamzooj | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ev’s Sherman | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deputy Connect | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back to Normal | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robert’s Ghost | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bet He’s Ready | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treaty | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skyline | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Five O One | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Man in the Can | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tempt Fate | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J. E.’s Handmedown | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dusty Hill | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souixper Charger | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Young Bull | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heritage Park | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodnight Archie | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bandit Point | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mo Betta | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Beans | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dinner At Crumpies | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sarah Harper | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Happiness | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Break Curfew | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time Limit | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Imperial | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Novel Squall | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Love | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Kings Princess | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pyramid Princess | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Descente | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Flipping Fast | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sense You Left | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Megan’s Clara | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Glamour Girl | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ship It | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsallinthenotes | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Misty Veil | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.