December 15, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Duchess of Zmor | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ezee Enough | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Darter | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harlons Commision | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grillin | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Tizway | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Invasive | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Golden Palace | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Queeten | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Bayou | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Common Law Cat | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Available Star | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Born Again George | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Knockalittlelouder | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Forestdungone | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Rock N Sake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Natealyze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eve’s Delight | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sophie’s Prayer | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sister Annette | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itsnotmyjob | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shades of Truth | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Lady | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Eclectic Soul | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Daigle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lea’s Princess | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Streettalkinhottie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Velvet Isle | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ebony Bay | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cold Hearted Wench | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Hot Toddy | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss High Heels | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Cajun Cash | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saving Argument | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Guitarzan | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Corvette Spirit | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Mistake Present | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hatties Jewel | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweeping Edge | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Actor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Park Ridge Benny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Bluewater Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Beautiful Ending | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Miss Neko | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Byanymeans | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Zydeco Music | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grace Forever | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | See Sassy Run | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peaceful Vision | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Bind Me Up | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Onetwomanyrockets | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Broke Financing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Magine | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Four Princesses | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catskill Ghost | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laurieann | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Southern Beauty | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Icy Charlie | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aiken to Be | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unbelievable Catch | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friendofthecourt | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Apriority | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Combat Command | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Sunrise | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Callthewolfe | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Me Back | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mean Cruiser | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | G Don’t Know | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Le Roy | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Apriority Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Beauty Boy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Secret | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zmor Aristocat | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Sip | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Wonder Run | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buckets | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lion Heart Legend | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dare Felix | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | B B Moody | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Peak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Boston Repo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.