December 16, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Courtofgulch | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
8 | 8 | Unsolved | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Samurai Island | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Mischievous Devil | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Corn Soup | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Catalina Latrina | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Chief Charlie | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | The Heat Is On | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Madison’s Place | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
1 | 4 | Isolation | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Opps My Bad | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Memory Magic | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Dueforadate | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Kris T. | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
1A | 6 | Sucre | 1.40 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | She’s My Priority | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Paisley Cross | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mollys Flyin High | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Noon’s Babygirl | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Gracesspecialtouch | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Brave City Girl | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | My Lovely Charlie | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Prayers Saved | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Bear Tooth Pass | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Little Tator Tot | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Here Comes Linda | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Envoys Legacy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | My Kiki | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Jerry’s Legacy | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Camp Halo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Sure Baby | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Streamer | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Kiki Kat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Interatifwithleu | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Miss Pronounce | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Fashion Merit | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Marama | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Smackfire | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Crider Chase | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Inca Warrior | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Singinginthewind | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Midnight Revolt | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Humphrey | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Such | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | One King Cat | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Eastside Boy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Macho Rapido | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Tapalist | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Old Indian Trick | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Double Barrel Man | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Carbon Stryker | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | King of the Court | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Tapit’s Spirit | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Big Band’s Luck | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 8 | Town Drunk | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 2 | Witch Doctor | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Buck Dynasty | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 3 | Mr Makeithappen | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
6 | 4 | Dutchman | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
7 | 5 | My Call | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
9 | 7 | Quality Production | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
8 | 6 | Sir Bronx | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ten Silver Pins | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Purim King | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Mizz Tutu | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 4 | Bind Me Up | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Promise Tender | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Goodnightsugar | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | Fabulous Girl | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | She Began Again | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Jennifer’s Arch | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 2 | Lady Rad | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | Lil Allie Dancer | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
1A | 8 | Enduring Peace | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.