December 16, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spitball | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay In | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chambo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon and Ice | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spotted Bull | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rising Perry | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bardolino | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zen Pi | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Visual Artist | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Artillery | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tempting Moment | 50.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shanghaied Astoria | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Pearls | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Weekend | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peachy Keen | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | El Equalizer | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tradition | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galilean Moon | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Olympic Gold | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daper’s Drink | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boondoggle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Strolled On By | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rahmer | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenax | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pickin Sea Glass | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summum Noor | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncommon Valor | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dune Dune | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vanhoofer | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trigz Too | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mailman’s a Flyer | 1.60 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Amigo | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Al Brown | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | He’s Orientate | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fermat | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie A | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 13 | Top Boss | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Subject to Change | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Rippolino | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Hard to Be Humble | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Inspector Frost | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2X | 10 | This Ill Defend | 4.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Algebraic | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 12 | Magic Mule | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Maybe After Later | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Proud Enough | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tappahannock | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golazo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Point Driven | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warm Sunny Breeze | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Championship Alley | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sunman | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frankee Merch | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Military Hop | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Torres Del Paine | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Phantom Ro | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cooke Brothers | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Big Hambone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Keeping the Peace | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Magical Luna | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Wildcat | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Be Good | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Freedom | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Millie Child | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Response Time | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mattitude | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miranda’s Desmond | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hufflepuff | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mending | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Crouchelli | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Newstome | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | McCain | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey and You | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speightsford | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bobby G | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caribbean (AUS) | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bustoff | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torch of Truth | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galerio | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Everett’s Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Royal Number | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Up Against It | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Titan’s Will | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Venezuela | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Logic | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mohaafeth | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Friendly Fella | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Angry Man | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bahama Channel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayne’s Fever | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Good Man | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mice and Men | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost My Vowcher | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amen Corner | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laddie Liam | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Sacred Place | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.