December 18, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Gettinintomischief | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Applewood | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Whiskey’s Gone | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Greeley | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | From Now On | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Paddock Pick | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Zipzaptime | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Summer Appeal | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Rumble | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Waypoint | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Hunk of a Hit | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Magic | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aligned Interest | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Quana Dude | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Relax Town | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Egeauxtism | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | One Time Gem | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Easy to Miss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cuwinsky | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violet Shadows | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jus Gimme a Call | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Custom for Tina | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friendly Aces | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chickietown Star | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bougie Marie | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boston Prospect | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mylies Star | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leudeal | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Run Natalie Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smiling Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Book | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Toddy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unwanted Intruder | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meditate | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greeley’s Dealer | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krafty Boy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Much Class | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forestdungone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Town Willy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Underdog | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sailing Jett | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Love | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamonmebaby | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Buffalo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Player | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Rogue | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apriority Storm | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Table One | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C. F. Shelauh | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devastating Beauty | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Us Second Cute Pie | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Sunrise | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Em’s Miss Prado | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fasted | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Mine Me | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Now You Rules | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Leo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rare Strain | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bunkie’s Song | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Anchor | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Jones | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Blue Jay | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Latinos | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Velvet Ridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Gus | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gonna Getcha | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Out Freed | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Duritz | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonshinerboy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixieland Music | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Bogey | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | On Tilt | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Funny Actor | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lundi | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | River King | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bobby Boots | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Boy Sam | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Indy Fireball | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Porque Si | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Xietelehuas | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Soul | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischevious Robert | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Actifdash | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Overanalyze | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kasens Train | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | F J’s Gem | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Windsor Academy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.