December 18, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Ready | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jinxed (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Icing | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Straight Time | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mogalu | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jest Above | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Wings | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carnivore | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swift Dancer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Backed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ukiyo | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girly the Butcher | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mountain Bellatrix | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Record | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Only Time | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Surprise | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Kingdom | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul of an Angel | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Large | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Personal Meadow | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doo Wop Don | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Young Flint | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Commission | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Temptations | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Venerate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Valiant Avenger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knights Bird | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Marco | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shea D Capture | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inner Wave | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruling Front | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hector B | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Over Ice | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Suwannee River S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Keeper of Time (IRE) | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Babia | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dawn’s Dancer | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quiet Company | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kelsey’s Cross | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Lady | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In a Hurry | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Melania | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Causeway | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summering | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shifty She | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alms | 4.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Rampart S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gran Baby (CHI) | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Marie | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Nekia | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance d’Oro | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Get Khozy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allworthy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kitten Street | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sovereign Warrior | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Earth | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tenacity Zip | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marcelino | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Blake | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Magician | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reagan’s Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gran Malbec | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Big City Red | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Backwoods Boogie | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Berhanu | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Weaver | 4.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allegedly Perfect | 2.50 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hurricane Hill | 5.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sugar Swirl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Center Aisle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Music City Star | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bronx Beauty | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quinoa Tifah | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loriloupies | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Compensate | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frank’s Rockette | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sosua | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Harlan’s Holiday S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | South Bend | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Steel | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eye of a Jedi | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Twice | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Heart | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ft. Lauderdale S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Space Traveller (GB) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Order and Law | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Renaisance Frolic | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L’Imperator (FR) | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Guillermo | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Bee | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Analyze It | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doswell | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking the Rules | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sole Volante | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atone | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brown Storm (CHI) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Media Blitz | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Ridley’s Major | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mifflin | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Versatile | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jukebox Juju | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sosua Summer | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misbehaved | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wake Surf | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Immokalee | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scarab | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hail to Thee | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ghostinyou | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Refuah | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | La Maquina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gooch Go Bragh | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Simms | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Grey Charmer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.