December 18, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Meliponini Bee | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party Monster | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daily Planet | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Legs Like Shack | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lottaclass Lilsass | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Middle Island | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cuenca | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Pines | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Beauty | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Chesapeake | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Fireball | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Betcha by Golly | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Distance Love | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Congress Hall | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fool Yourself | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misty’s Banshee | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bowie Two Step | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make the Way Clear | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whenigettoheaven | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scintillio | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Insurrectionist | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hampden Lane | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lantau | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kozy’s Wildcat | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Brickbat | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cantakeitanymore | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Poke the Bear | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crush It | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unequivocal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Queue | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Winning | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iywaan | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Road Warrior | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Phra Phrom | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bliss This | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oskee Wow Wow | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blo My Budget | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vinny | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Law | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senator Kelly | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trash Talkin Larry | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonrock | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Salamina | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Away to Return | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’sarollingstone | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Italian Dressing | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hope Has a Name | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Bastet | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friend Me Charlie | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fraudulent Charge | 1.40 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Edgy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maryland Juvenile Fillies Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Click to Confirm | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jester Calls Nojoy | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Gracie | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkle Sprinkle | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preparefortakeoff | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Belle | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maryland Juvenile Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Coastal Mission | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Irish | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gallant Gold | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Joe | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kobe Tough | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alottahope | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crabs N Beer | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Local Motive | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Mox | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wish Me Home | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shady Munni | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Spy | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | One Ten | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | R Tap | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sir John | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baltimore Winning | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Albertano | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Effulgent | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hands Down | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hair of the Dog | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chauffeur | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.