December 19, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Little Lulu | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | U Should B Dancing | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barefoot Dancer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flight Forward | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Feline | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ethel’s Doctorate | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bank Statement | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Ariyanna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 9 | Bay Jewel | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Big Al’s Gal | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Annika Gold | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Lady by Choice | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Customerexperience | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Quality Stones | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Ok Honey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 8 | Violent Point | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hydra | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honey Money | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vienna Code | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epona’s Dream | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makingcents | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frost Me | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pendolino | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Choose Happiness | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Game Theory | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Legacy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Freddymo Factor | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Queen | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Linny Kate | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Raffinity | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stormi Cat Lady | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | April Antics | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Infringement | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Reigning Chick | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hava Nagila Hava | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Regal Rebel | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kisses for Emily | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tempermental | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Fool Me | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over the Sand | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vallelujah | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | My Cara Mia Mine | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’ll Go All In | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Malala | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Cara’s Daydreamer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lady of Thoroton | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Big Bean Christine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Midmon | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maiden Beauty | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emilia’s Moon | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Weekend | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Bling | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halo City | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer of the Sky | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hybrid Eclipse | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Gravesend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Drafted | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chateau | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Dunhill | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wendell Fong | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaxon Traveler | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wondrwherecraigis | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Queens County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Night | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olliemyboy | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You’re to Blame | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shooger Ray Too | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bal Harbour | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empty Tomb | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forewarned | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backsideofthemoon | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbonic | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oliver’s Fortune | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zap Man | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reunion Tour | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Got the Gold | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Zim | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Brother Neil | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Meister | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Addicted to You | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandro the Great | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Giant | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Brody | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rush to Honor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brennan’s War | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.