December 20, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Blue Cheese | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sport Coat | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Struck | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spin Town | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. G T O | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Big Show | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golduster | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zoey’s Hippie | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | William Gustavo | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie’s Creed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hopeitsamiracle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kick N Kiss | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be a Bandit | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Da Due Run Run | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olivia’s Duchess | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Balook | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foursweetnieces | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Bind On Earth | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | World of Hurt | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Gal Charlotte | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mt Hopy | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift n’ Stormy | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Emma Jean | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Point Me Out | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds Shining | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kellie Mae | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Sweet Sophia | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zipity | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lost Gold | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamer’s Delight | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Code | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rithmicallea | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palimonium | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Escrow Style | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wine to Roses | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Driver | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Leo | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Max Bet | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River King | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Boots | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | David’s Grace | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hail Southern | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sugarland Express | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Rule | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Fortunate Son | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tricky Mom | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mila’s Kat | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roseisalwaysrite | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boston Belle | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Liberina | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Glow | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bow Bow Girl | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Puye Timing | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zoom Up | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saints N Muskets | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rush Hour Traffic | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Charlie Sioux | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Mists of Time | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lover Boy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chop Chop Charlie | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Freedomfi | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Muscadine | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Hardcore Folklore | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Flashing Angelbaby | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Verdict | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Creative | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jackman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beauregard | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sum Holiday | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Da’money Alarm | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Rocket | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Red Racer | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rodessa Flash | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Putter | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kannon With a K | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nojokeimbroke | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Twist | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Voyant | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zongland | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Big Daddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.