December 20, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Solemn Oath | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confirmed Genius | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose E Holiday | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nurturing | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sour Mash | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mineshaft Magic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Raid | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wendy’s Fine Wine | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Make It Coach | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Risque’s Jewel | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond a Million | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Jumper | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Phoebe | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chelsea Wall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jade Delta | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Biggest One | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just a Dream | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angelsfour Michele | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mistress | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misbehaving Lady | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weddinightjitters | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gunfighter’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Indian | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exit Right | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taino | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diggers Diamond | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ilovecharlybrown | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wick | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commissioner Dave | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Load Up Moe | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Samurai | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stand by You | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kirtan | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Y Queso | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Finest Work | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Dancing | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Jester | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. Paddy’s Daddy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Path | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Tuttle | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Temple | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distractandattack | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sophos | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Huskies | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lt. Columbo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Curteis | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cave Man | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quite Ready | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Supreme Being | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Twist ‘n Twirl | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cassation | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Noneedtoworry | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fighter Jet | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justhappy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Barilko | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Fort Fortitude | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Powerful Ally | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Irish Colonel | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Anzio Beach | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tio Wil | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mach Trial | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hard West | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manolete | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Appealing Future | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Start Meee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Train | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Hockey Puck | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Breezy Gust | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saratoga Jack | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uncle Ernie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Meet Me At Mundis | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tudox Expectations | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrecife | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Slew Tang Clan | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dennard | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jarlian | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | El Samuro | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tempting the Tiger | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eye of Gunfighter | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sinashack | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamaigotthis | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mithra | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Green Growth | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Valentino Daze | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grandfire | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Strong Alex | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.