December 23, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lauri’s Wish | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Bit Part | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | As Thunder Heart | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C. F. Congress | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Dude Drop Kid | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Kings | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Angel | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luck of the Stars | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Cabro Toro | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Uncle Frank | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Power Red | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tyler’s Admiral | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Twilite Liason | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Getcha | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thirtyeight | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon Wrath | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Custom Blue Grass | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blume | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Palante | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run to Blade | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Speedofthespeed | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sadie’s Light | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Braizen Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brimestone Kid | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Heather Divine | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chatain’s Flyer | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Expresso | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Streettalkinhottie | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dreamit | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Back Inthat Action | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dialed J | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Amen | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lukes Secret | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blue Ridge Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cajun Shots | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One Time Around | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Got Wings | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palm Court | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hatzilu Ivrit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Maid | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Guera | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turf Dancer | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In for a Penny | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | I’m Always Late | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desiard | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Berti | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Homeland Messa | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jonathan Who | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malasong | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pay Dirt | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shady Monkey | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redivivus | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Mostly Awesome | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Love to Learn | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | First Empress | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Billie K | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Jewels | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Charm | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bar Tap | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Dinar | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Sarcastic Tone | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Gotta Go | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Mocito Rojo | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leo Del Reo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Extirpator | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lt. Bonura | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewcitable | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Adios Carlos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Liken It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Laughingsaintssong | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Silver N Lai | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Lone Star Express | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | M and M’s Custom | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smoky Topaz | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sexy in the Grass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Hudson Hop | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Little Junior | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Paralissfrmanalyss | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dale’s Lil Bro | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lightning Harbour | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hip Four O Four | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moro Pharoah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Reachforthesaber | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.