December 26, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Marquee Ride | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Iberville | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mazuma | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Faith Runner | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Verstappen | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Heston | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Path to Success | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin Edges | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Freedom’s Way | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Overanalytical | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Masquerade Ball | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | William’s Cause | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gravy Hound | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Pedigree | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bella Brown | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Count | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cabo’s Rumor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Like Mike | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Release the Beast | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | El Socio | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ready to Roll | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cousin Larry | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Win Worthy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentle Soul | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Plucky | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Lou Boyle (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U S Navy Cross | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Diamond | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | New Year Surprise | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oncoming Train | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Capt. Maestri | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hombrazo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Editor in Chief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Changi | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Beyond Perfection | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hazy Command | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Georgetown Road | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Make Out | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elle of the Ball | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Very Wealthy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Omkara | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reagan’s Decision | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Arsinoe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Vow | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Blushing K. D. S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | More Than Unusual | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bellagamba (ARG) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Advocating | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curly Ruth | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer in Saratoga | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catch a Bid | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apple Dapple | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fatima | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Planters Punch | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Setstone | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boss’ Dialin In | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smarty John | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Legionnaire | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keen Heir | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St Andrews | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Downtown Connector | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haddassah’s Devil | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grinning Tiger | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Manny Wah | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Curlin | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Might | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pyron | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Field Day | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Hustle | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Connector | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Firecrow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tenacious S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shared Sense | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Fed | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chess Chief | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Menace | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pirate’s Punch | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ebben | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy American | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior in Chief | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trident Hit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Big Dreaming | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Pixelate | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Another Mystery | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Dreaming | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Logical Myth | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Halo Again | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Artie’s Rumor | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Midnight Tea Time | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Forty Under | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hierarchy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cavalry Charge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Spooky Channel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Untapable S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Cocktail Moments | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fannie and Freddie | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | North County | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shotgun Hottie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Angel | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Feeling Happy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alittleloveandluck | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Implosion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Gun Runner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Dawg | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epicenter | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surfer Dude | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tejano Twist | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kevin’s Folly | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waita Minute Hayes | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rich Strike | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gilded Ruler | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz of Thee | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peaceful Waters | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charlemagne | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Del Moon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sergeant Reckless | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Inexorable | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Hurricane | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Baltic Fleet | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chopped | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Art Heist | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mask Patrol | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cyberknife | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stavanger | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magazine Street | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jego | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeeper | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monologue | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danny’s Lil Dana | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.