December 26, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beside Herself | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Oakhurst | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Philly Twirl | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Al Qahira | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artume | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Athenais | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Kobe Time | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cold Call | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quality Control | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barrett | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Change Plans | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beechnut Trophy | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ambitieuse | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Queen Macha | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Up in the Air | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ines’s Hats | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Italy | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raspberry Ballet | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s J N J | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heiressindy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pens Street | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mikaela | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Angelic Storm | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Pup | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Apeal | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Joy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miracle Mischief | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Penny Angel | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flor de Plata | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chase That Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bob Marco | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Not Easy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sensei Lawrence | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Khopilot | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glory and Victory | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steal Sunshine | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birdnote | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Inthewinnerscircle | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream About Me | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bipartisanship (GB) | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gladys | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stunning Princess | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mademoiselle Nova | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tobys Heart | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breaker of Chains | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Speightspeare | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Strong Light | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Change | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outperform | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paco’s Pico | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Halfmoon | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galt | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Matt | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overlander | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winit | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poseidon’s Son | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr Tito’s | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncaptured King | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Bullet | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mustang Cat | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfectly Majestic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Max | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gran Malbec | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beaster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | American Icon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uranium | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Line Overdrive | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Frost | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Express | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Boy Rocket | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wolfe County | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dominican Ice | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Attentive | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yamato | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outrageous Bet | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Benefactor | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surf and Turf | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Seamus | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Light Fury | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mid Day Image | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Cotswold Village | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Centerfoldprospect | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | In Effect | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mohs | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sigiloso | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fighting Force | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hot Blooded | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Safe Conduct | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of Dreams | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scarlett Sky | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grey Streak | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lamplighter Jack | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | American Prince | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shady McGee (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kygo (GER) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Never Surprised | 1.60 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes This Time | 4.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sir Terre | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mack | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kanithappen | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Panenka | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Tough | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ever Clear | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chieficia | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neverenoughcoco | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Congrats Again | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye David | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.