December 29, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Not Enough Bling | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarahs Home | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Arkie | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gaby’s Promise | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doha | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firstslate | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rivetrix | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jus My Imagination | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bellamy Cay | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Dawn | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isolation | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eileen Alexandra | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Prayers | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carondelet | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Toosie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T R’s First | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lacis Jewel | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Star | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L G Girl | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Rose | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Expectation | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Overseas Letter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Special Breed | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Im Just Jokin | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Briar | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Famous Yankee | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Birch | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wedington | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth River | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trappe the Cat | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sure Baby | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boomtown | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alys Episode | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anotherinthefire | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rockett Magic | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bear Tooth Pass | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chatain’s Gift | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tapit Baby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mave Runner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Backshot | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Letters | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Ride | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Rogue | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scrappy Artie | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Limbo’s Promise | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spankhurst | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Getaloadofthis | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dusty Hill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Si Es Goya | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Money Machine | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Corvette Spirit | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cool Individual | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Half a Bite | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Calculate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | In Charge Halo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Appeal | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Always a Catch | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run Away Son | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Maxi Moon | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | I’ll Raise You | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | I’m Looking Up | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Cabot Trail | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Farewell Time | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of a Storm | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coco Tiger | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best You Ever Seen | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corot | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McLean | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2B | 10 | Tale of Fame | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | C. F. Shelauh | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emmas Ruler | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Galaxy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Miracle Girl | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wind Zee | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Last Destiny | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Our Star | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Tensas | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who Dat Grey | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Apriority Lady | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crider Chase | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gifted Talent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.