December 29, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Just a Thought | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Hard Sting | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Lawlessness | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Commissioner G | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Perfect Revenge | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Jacohare | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Rack Gin | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Golden Spoke | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Espernsita | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
11 | 11 | La Regalada | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Call the Po Po | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Wild Delight | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sea Fret | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | She’sfirstclass | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Nickys Notion | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Creative Joy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Bold’n Naughty | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tribord | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Using Coconuts | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Eight Danzas | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Party in the Sand | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
11 | 11 | Fairy Wish | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Taylor’s Belle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Southern Cents | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Congaree Rose | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Volodina | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Spectacular Now | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Broad Storm | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Carmeltini | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | West Horizen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Crick | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
11 | 10 | Queen Abarrio | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Anginetti | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
10 | 9 | Hightime Valentine | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Posseineffecttoo | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
9 | 8 | Holiday Raid | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Dreaminofdasies | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
14 | 11 | Starship Blanca | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
4 | 3 | I’am a Unicorn | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
5 | 4 | Frosty Friend | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
3 | 3 | Almost Evil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Presto Change O | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Exact | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Mon Cherie | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
15 | 12 | Intervention | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Yo Nessroundonkern | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Cuneo | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Captain Chazz | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Silipo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Turnpike Bob | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Jump for the Win | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Ridiculous | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Tequila Jr | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Hooray for Harvey | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
14 | 13 | D T Goodie | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Wild Haven | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Didnt Do It | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Get the W | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
13 | 12 | Six Cider | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Double the Heart | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Clear Prosperity | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Fast Negotiations | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
16 | 14 | Septimius Severus | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
11 | 10 | Dangerfield | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
9 | 9 | Peculiar Sensation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | American River (VEN) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 9 | Staynsidethecircle | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
12 | 11 | Dougie | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
2 | 2 | Gilded Warrior | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Terpeye | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Janelle Dreams | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
10 | 9 | Dial a Lady | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
11 | 10 | Forest Halo | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Indian Bella | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
12 | 11 | Piquet | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Molly’s Game | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
8 | 7 | Harbour Way | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | Risen Change | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
14 | 12 | Sidereal | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
9 | 8 | Towson | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
7 | 7 | Serious Happiness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Sally O’Prado | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Midnight Miracle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Atlantic Avenue | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
15 | 13 | Mad Mary | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Parx Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Stand Up Comic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Collin’s Grey Lady | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
10 | 8 | Miss Interpret | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
11 | 9 | Lady Bernadette | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
9 | 7 | Twodogsfourcats | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
8 | 6 | Captainsdaughter | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 5 | Smarty Pants Sandy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Eighty Eight Keys | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
6 | 4 | Decisive Cause | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Alice Harper | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Bienvenue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Buy the Best | 1.80 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Parx Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Script | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | Dance Code | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
10 | 8 | Southern Runner | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Practical Coach | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 3 | Vine Jet | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Speaking | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
3 | 2 | Egot a Poker Face | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Raging Tempest | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Last Romance | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Uncle Buddy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Mr. Mox | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Witty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Smarten Up | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Monday’s With Mike | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cigar Box | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Impactful | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Moon Pistol | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
11 | 11 | The Want of a Nail | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Glacier Express | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | No Fooling Dude | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
7 | 7 | Rules | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
8 | 8 | Weekend in Court | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
5 | 5 | Wye Mumbo | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
10 | 10 | Goldenlineof | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
12 | 12 | Twixy Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Silver Fury | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.