December 30, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’vinicris | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Little Risk | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir William | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Damilano | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brew Pub | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Exxaltress | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Collector | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosebug | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Martini’s Amica | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Geometrique | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rough Tough Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Emperor’s Cause | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quickflash | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Mint | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anything Pazible | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kodiak Brown | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run for Boston | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Obsessed | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | What’s My Category | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoopla | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conformist | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dee Bo | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Demo Doctor | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alfie Solomons | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Inevtabl Conection | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhumjar | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Urban Forest | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kobe’s Legacy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Check That Chip | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cathedral Beach | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Shot | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Noble Journey | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Show | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Bahe | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Corkman | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Mayor | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Make It in Ny | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Straight Skinny | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocco Strong | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maiden Beauty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Princess | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amity Island | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Starr | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Deep | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Colton | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Total Effort | 0.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raising Sand | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alite | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Napoleon Complex | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Esor | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deputies Edge | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Joy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.